PAGE 21

Changing Permafrost in the Arctic and its Global Effects in the 21st Century

Activity Code: ENV.2011.1.1.3-1
Project Reference: 282700
Coordinator: Prof. Dr. Hans-Wolfgang Hubberten
Alfred-Wegener-Institut für Polar und Meeresforschung

Description:

Objective: Permafrost is defined as ground that remains continuously at or below 0°C for at least two consecutive years; some 24% of the land surface in the northern Hemisphere is classified as permafrost. In the Northern high latitudes, strong warming has been observed over the recent decades, and climate models project strong future warming. A projected decline in the extent of permafrost will have a major impact on the Earth system, affecting global climate through the mobilization of carbon and nitrogen stored in permafrost.

PAGE21 aims to understand and quantify the vulnerability of permafrost enviroments to a changing global climate, and to investigate the feedback mechanisms associated with increasing greenhouse gas emissions from permafrost zones. This research makes use of a unique set of Arctic permafrost investigations performed at stations that span the full range of Arctic bioclimatic zones. The projects brings together the bes European permafrost researcher and eminent scientists from Canada, Russia, the USA, and Japan. In a truly original approach we combine field measurements of permafrost processes, pools, and fluxes, with remote sensing data and global climate models at local, regional and, for the first time, pan-Arctic scales. The output from this research will help to advance our understanding of permafrost processes at multiple scales, resultin in improvements in global numerical permafrost modeling and the ensuing future climate projections, as well as in the assessment of stabilization scenarios. These outputs will feed into global assessments and international mentoring programs, in which most of the consortium members are already actively participating in leading roles. This project will, in particular, provide projections on a pan-Arctic scale of greenhouse gas releases from the projected thawing of permafrost terrain during the 21st century, with direct implications for global policy discussions on emission reduction targets. 

Project Details:

Start Date: 2011-11-01
End Date: 2015-10-31
Duration: 48 months
EU Contribution: 6,951,895 EURO  
Total Costs: 9,318,086 EURO
Funding Scheme: Collaborative project (large-scale integrating project
Administrative Contact Person: Catherine AUDEBERT (Ms.)
Scientfic Coordinator: Mr Prof. Dr. Hans-Wolfgang Hubberten, Hans-Wolfgang.Hubberten(at)awi.de 
Programme Acronym: FP7-ENVIRONMENT
Programme type: Seventh Framework Programme
Subprogramme Area: Vulnerability of Arctic permafrost to climate change and implications for global GHG emissions and future climate
Subject index: Environmental Protection

 

Partners:

  • KØBENHAVNS UNIVERSITET, Denmark
  • MAX PLANCK GESELLSCHAFT ZUR FOERDERUNG DER WISSENSCHAFTEN e.V., Germany
  • ILMATIETEEN LAITOS, Finland
  • VERENIGING VOOR CHRISTELIJK HOGER ONDERWIJS WETENSCHAPPELIJK ONDERZOEK EN PATIENTENZORG, Netherlands
  • UNIVERSITAET HAMBURG, Germany
  • ITÄ-SUOMEN YLIOPISTO, Finland
  • UNIVERSITE JOSEPH FOURIER GRENOBLE 1, France
  • MET OFFICE, UK
  • TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITAET WIEN, Austria
  • THE UNIVERSITY OF EXETER, UK
  • LUNDS UNIVERSITET, Sweden
  • STOCKHOLMS UNIVERSITET, Sweden
  • M V LOMONOSOV MOSCOW STATE UNIVERSITY, Russian Federation
  • COMMISSARIAT A L ENERGIE ATOMIQUE ET AUX ENERGIES ALTERNATIVES, France
  • INSITUTE FOR BIOLOGICAL PROBLEMS OF CRYOLITHOZONE SIBERIAN BRANCH RUSSIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES, Russian Federation
  • NORDURSLODAGATTIN EHF, Iceland
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